Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.247587 4.911869 5.611918 6.401430 7.263858 8.174250 9.204804
2024-12-22 3.233535 4.145335 5.170809 6.396042 7.806683 9.367096 11.210719
2024-12-29 2.677729 3.767471 5.064844 6.691081 8.643171 10.880875 13.609242
2025-01-05 2.241707 3.445658 4.956392 6.931984 9.389007 12.289316 15.915745
2025-01-12 1.854140 3.113238 4.776004 7.037916 9.942285 13.459793 17.953717
2025-01-19 1.490592 2.747692 4.497223 6.971511 10.246831 14.309438 19.602644
2025-01-26 1.262879 2.535188 4.390335 7.102636 10.784963 15.441767 21.604844
2025-02-02 1.073469 2.346514 4.288719 7.218256 11.288576 16.526308 23.554752
2025-02-09 0.853929 2.067585 4.019524 7.068749 11.414009 17.110903 24.868205
2025-02-16 0.675001 1.821680 3.768521 6.916799 11.513672 17.647364 26.113712
2025-02-23 0.557741 1.664774 3.637950 6.925765 11.825990 18.460558 27.720774
2025-03-02 0.440399 1.479729 3.437286 6.807649 11.942343 19.001808 28.969658
2025-03-09 0.394294 1.441020 3.488698 7.091929 12.660532 20.392473 31.390554
2025-03-16 0.322961 1.326294 3.391600 7.130576 13.015746 21.289744 33.167919
2025-03-23 0.295262 1.312613 3.478206 7.470750 13.827927 22.835180 35.839923
2025-03-30 0.263384 1.279699 3.523665 7.741731 14.539918 24.250256 38.353107
2025-04-06 0.221856 1.207133 3.482896 7.861561 15.020505 25.343473 40.439360
2025-04-13 0.172254 1.090931 3.339370 7.792637 15.202118 26.009160 41.943301
2025-04-20 0.145197 1.037362 3.319033 7.935475 15.714231 27.152930 44.116965
2025-04-27 0.121115 0.983823 3.291563 8.060865 16.197509 28.257827 46.244684
2025-05-04 0.087016 0.870117 3.114156 7.899893 16.213262 28.677040 47.415615
2025-05-11 0.060438 0.766460 2.943011 7.736032 16.213372 29.066743 48.543312
2025-05-18 0.045263 0.705981 2.866854 7.745788 16.494774 29.873311 50.265416